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  American Journal of Political ScienceVolume 51 Issue 2, Pages 382 - 396 Published Online: 22 Mar 2007 © 2010 Midwest Political Science Association Published on behalf of the Midwest Political Science Association
Abstract | References | Full Text: HTML, PDF (Size: 627K) | Related Articles | Citation Tracking  Reputation and Interstate Conflict A previous draft of this article was presented at the 2003 annual meeting of the American Political Science Association. Thanks to Andrew Enterline, Kelly Kadera, Stephen Long, Jake Kathman, and Katja Kleinberg for comments. Special thanks to George Rabinowitz for his comments and help with data preparation and fortran programming and to Tae Lerch for his help with the Perl program. Empirical analysis was conducted using STATA 8.0 (StataCorp, 2003). Thanks to the COW2 Project and to John Oneal, Bruce Russett, and Michael Berbaum for making their data available. Data assembly was conducted with the help of EUGene 3.0.3 (Bennett and Stam 2000). The author is grateful to the National Science Foundation for supporting this research (SES-0450111). Any errors remain the responsibility of the author. Copyright 2007, Midwest Political Science Association ABSTRACTIn international politics, states learn from the behavior of other nations, including the reputations states form through their actions in the international system. This article presents a model of how states process this information and examines how this learning affects international conflict. The model builds off of cognitive balance theory and foreign policy learning models and breaks new ground in its ability to provide a contextual assessment of reputation in world politics. The article then investigates whether a dyad is more likely to experience conflict if at least one state has a reputation for hostility. This hypothesis is tested empirically across all dyads in the international system from 1817 to 2000. The results indicate that states do engage in this learning behavior and that the information generated by extra-dyadic interaction of states has a significant bearing upon the likelihood of dyadic conflict. | 
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