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Wiley InterScience

Risk Analysis

Risk Analysis

Volume 27 Issue 5, Pages 1335 - 1344

Published Online: 7 Dec 2007

© 2010 Society for Risk Analysis



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Reducing the Risk of Human Extinction
Jason G. Matheny*
Correspondence to   *Department of Health Policy and Management, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, 624 N. Broadway, Room 493, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA; tel: 202-486-1306; jmatheny@jhsph.edu.
Copyright 2007 Society for Risk Analysis
KEYWORDS
Asteroids • catastrophic risk • cost-effectiveness analysis • discounting • existential risk • human extinction

ABSTRACT

In this century a number of events could extinguish humanity. The probability of these events may be very low, but the expected value of preventing them could be high, as it represents the value of all future human lives. We review the challenges to studying human extinction risks and, by way of example, estimate the cost effectiveness of preventing extinction-level asteroid impacts.


DIGITAL OBJECT IDENTIFIER (DOI)
10.1111/j.1539-6924.2007.00960.x About DOI

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