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Wiley InterScience

The Economic History Review

The Economic History Review

Volume 60 Issue 4, Pages 742 - 765

Published Online: 18 Oct 2007

© 2010 Economic History Society



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Financial market analysis can go mad (in the search for irrational behaviour during the South Sea Bubble)1
GARY S. SHEA 1
  1 School of Economics and Finance, University of St Andrews
Copyright Economic History Society 2007

ABSTRACT

An investigation into the legal and political history of South Sea Company subscription finance shows that the subscription contracts had default options built into them, as was typically the case in eighteenth-century subscription financing. Company records and contemporary pamphlet literature show that people understood the subscription finance mechanics that were stated in law. A fair presentation of South Sea share value data also supports this view. We thus conclude that the analyses published in this journal by Dale, Johnson, and Tang were irretrievably flawed and present a substantially incorrect history of the markets for South Sea shares.


Date submitted 8 July 2005
Revised version submitted 23 February 2006
Accepted 28 February 2006

DIGITAL OBJECT IDENTIFIER (DOI)
10.1111/j.1468-0289.2007.00379.x About DOI

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