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Wiley InterScience

Agricultural Economics

Agricultural Economics

Volume 34 Issue 1, Pages 97 - 107

Published Online: 1 Feb 2006

© 2010 International Association of Agricultural Economists



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Modeling winegrape prices in disequilibrium
Edward Oczkowski a,*
  a School of Commerce, Charles Sturt University, PO Box 588, Wagga Wagga, NSW 2678, Australia
  *Corresponding author. Tel.: +61 2 69332377; fax: +61 2 69332930.
E-mail address:eoczkowski@csu.edu.au (E. Oczkowski).
Copyright 2006 International Association of Agricultural Economics
KEYWORDS
C51 • D40 • Q11
KEYWORDS
Wine pricing • Disequilibrium • Hedonic models

Abstract

Abstract
          1. Introduction
          2. The Australian winegrape market
          3. Theoretical and econometric framework
          4. Data and empirical modelReferences

This article presents an econometric model of winegrape prices which recognizes the existence of demand and supply imbalances in the Australian market. A "markets in disequilibrium" framework is employed to motivate modeling price changes as responding to variations in excess demand/supply. The disequilibrium price equation provides estimates of regional and varietal price discounts/premiums and a measure of the speed of disequilibrium price adjustment. The equilibrium assumption is rejected for the market and substantial differences between equilibrium and disequilibrium estimates point to the inaccuracies of assuming market clearing. Disequilibrium estimates point to significant differences between warm and cool regions and changing speed of disequilibrium adjustment over time.


Received 17 February 2003; received in revised form 1 September 2004; accepted 28 January 2005

DIGITAL OBJECT IDENTIFIER (DOI)
10.1111/j.1574-0862.2006.00107.x About DOI

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