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Wiley InterScience

Risk Analysis

Risk Analysis

Volume 26 Issue 2, Pages 347 - 351

Published Online: 28 Mar 2006

© 2010 Society for Risk Analysis



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Out of the Frying Pan into the Fire: Behavioral Reactions to Terrorist Attacks
Gerd Gigerenzer*
Correspondence to   *Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Center for Adaptive Behavior & Cognition, Lentzeallee 94, Berlin, Germany 14195; tel: +49-30-824 06 461; gigerenzer@mpib-berlin.mpg.de.
Copyright 2006 The Society for Risk Analysis
KEYWORDS
Dread risk • fear of flying • public reactions to terrorist attacks • September 11 • traffic accidents

ABSTRACT

A low-probability, high-damage event in which many people are killed at one point of time is called a dread risk. Dread risks can cause direct damage and, in addition, indirect damage mediated though the minds of citizens. I analyze the behavioral reactions of Americans to the terrorist attacks on September 11, 2001, and provide evidence for the dread hypothesis: (i) Americans reduced their air travel after the attack; (ii) for a period of one year following the attacks, interstate highway travel increased, suggesting that a proportion of those who did not fly instead drove to their destination; and (iii) for the same period, in each month the number of fatal highway crashes exceeded the base line of the previous years. An estimated 1,500 Americans died on the road in the attempt to avoid the fate of the passengers who were killed in the four fatal flights.


DIGITAL OBJECT IDENTIFIER (DOI)
10.1111/j.1539-6924.2006.00753.x About DOI

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