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Avian influenza – Is the world on the verge of a pandemic? … and can it be stopped?
Anna Thorson * and Karl Ekdahl **
  * Clinic of Infectious Diseases, Karolinska University Hospital, Solna, Sweden. Department of Epidemiology, Swedish Institute for Infectious Disease Control, Solna, Sweden.
  ** Associate Professor, Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden. Department of Epidemiology, Swedish Institute for Infectious Disease Control, SE-171 82 Solna, Sweden. karl.ekdahl@smi.ki.se
Copyright © Blackwell Publishing Ltd. 2005

ABSTRACT

With more than 100 million birds either dead from infection or culled, the present outbreak of avian influenza in Asia is unprecedented in size. The virus is capable of transmitting to man, causing lethal infections, but as yet the virus does not easily transmit from human to human. However, there is a substantial risk of either re-assortment of virus (combination of avian and human influenza), or adaptation of the influenza virus to humans. If this happens we may be on the verge of a new influenza pandemic with grave consequences both for human health and the world economy. The present situation stresses the importance of good surveillance and updated pandemic plans in all countries.


DIGITAL OBJECT IDENTIFIER (DOI)
10.1111/j.0966-0879.2005.00451.x About DOI

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