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Wiley InterScience

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Stochastic Algorithms, Symmetric Markov Perfect Equilibrium, and the 'curse' of Dimensionality
Ariel Pakes & Paul McGuire
  1 Department of Economics, 117 Littauer Center, Harvard University, USA. ariel@ariel.fas.harvard.edu,  2Economic Growth Center, Yale University, USA. paul@oberon.econ.yale.edu
Copyright The Econometric Society
KEYWORDS
Dynamic games • stochastic algorithms • curse of dimensionality

ABSTRACT

This paper introduces a stochastic algorithm for computing symmetric Markov perfect equilibria. The algorithm computes equilibrium policy and value functions, and generates a transition kernel for the (stochastic) evolution of the state of the system. It has two features that together imply that it need not be subject to the curse of dimensionality. First, the integral that determines continuation values is never calculated; rather it is approximated by a simple average of returns from past outcomes of the algorithm, an approximation whose computational burden is not tied to the dimension of the state space. Second, iterations of the algorithm update value and policy functions at a single (rather than at all possible) points in the state space. Random draws from a distribution set by the updated policies determine the location of the next iteration's updates. This selection only repeatedly hits the recurrent class of points, a subset whose cardinality is not directly tied to that of the state space. Numerical results for industrial organization problems show that our algorithm can increase speed and decrease memory requirements by several orders of magnitude.


DIGITAL OBJECT IDENTIFIER (DOI)
10.1111/1468-0262.00241 About DOI

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