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Wiley InterScience

Internal Medicine Journal

Internal Medicine Journal

Volume 38 Issue 4, Pages 288 - 291

Published Online: 31 Mar 2008

Journal compilation © 2009 Royal Australasian College of Physicians


The Official Journal of the Adult Medicine Division of The Royal Australasian College of Physicians (RACP)
Paediatrics and Child Health Division (The Royal Australasian College of Physicians)
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Statistical inference is overemphasized in cluster investigations: the case of the cluster of breast cancers at the Australian Broadcasting Corporation studios in Brisbane, Australia
M. Coory 1
  1 School of Population Health, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
Correspondence to  Michael Coory, School of Population Health, University of Queensland, Public Health Building, Herston Road, Herston, Qld A006, Australia.
Email: m.coory@uq.edu.au

Funding: None

Potential conflicts of interest: None

Copyright Journal compilation © 2008 Royal Australasian College of Physicians
KEYWORDS
clusters • case series • statistical inference

ABSTRACT

AbstractThe ABC clusterStatistical inference in cluster investigationsHave there been any informative cancer clusters?ConclusionReferences

The aim of statistical analyses in cluster investigations is to estimate the probability that the aggregation of cases could be due to chance. As a result of several statistical problems – including the post-hoc nature of the analysis and the subjective nature of implied multiple comparisons – this cannot be carried out with any certainty. In cluster investigations, expert opinion should carry much more weight than P-values, which are exceedingly difficult to interpret.


Received 24 September 2007; accepted 4 November 2007.

DIGITAL OBJECT IDENTIFIER (DOI)
10.1111/j.1445-5994.2007.01617.x About DOI

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